Tuesday, March 6, 2012

mandate 2012: emergence of regional parties a threat to india?

Blogging for me is a good way to express my opinion and hence when I decided to blog I decided to start with a topic I love a lot: POLITICS.

Even though I had an exam at 11.30  in the morning I was busy watching the news channels for the recently concluded elections' results.  And the results were quiet impressive with BSP having a tight race for the 2nd spot with the BJP.  Come 5 pm and the results showed that Samajwadi party had swept India's largest state and BJP alliances had swept Punjab and Goa with the latter being for the first time.  The only saving face for the "Yuvvraaj" of congress was manipur and uttarakhand.(where it was neck to neck with BJP).

These results along with the the results of the recently concluded municipal elections in Maharashtra have thrown up some interesting facts.  These results have shown that national parties like the congress and the bjp do not have any connect with the people at the grassroots level and hence have to form post-poll alliances with the regional parties even though they get a pittance.  Along with understanding the problems better the regional parties also project themselves as the 'messiah' of the 'sons-of-soil'.  As a result the ' aam aadmi' votes for the regional parties and brings them to power.

The real problem starts here. Any party (mainly the bjp and congress) to get the magical figure of 273 in the Lok Sabha becomes heavily dependent on these regional parties for support and hence are at their mercy for the 5 years in ruling.  And if not handled well it can create serious problems as in the case of the present UPA government.
And to have a successful pan-India presence and win the Lok Sabha elections on their own the BJP or the Congress have only two options:
1- Have a manager like Atal Behari Vajpayee who can keep a coalition intact with the fiercest of woman (read Mamta Banerjee or J.Jayalalithaa)  without giving too much into their demands.  But this option is somewhat impossible as there are few to none like the great octogenarian.
2- Build a cadre of workers on the lines of the regional parties so that they are less reliant on the regional parties.

If this is not the case then India is seriously going to be in a tight spot as one cannot imagine a coalition at the centre with parties having leaders with high tempos like Raj Thackeray or Mamta Banerjee and a host of others who have recently strengthened their position in their home states.

Its time the national parties prove they are really "national".

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